If missing estimates could ever be good news, then here is one. The World has failed to meet (luckily) the UN’s estimate of 40 million AIDS patient by the year 2007 and settled with only 33 million. But then, this also opens up a debate - are we not overspending on AIDS? If one were to see the return on investment (ROI), the outcome in case of AIDS is not very encouraging as compared to other diseases. AIDS is the 19th most invested area in the world, but the number of successful attempts to find a cure are negligible. Also, while the highest number of AIDS cases are found in sub-Saharan Africa, facilities to prevent the deadly disease hardly reach to the needy people out there. Besides, the UN has itself admitted that it overestimated the increase in AIDS cases especially in countries like China, India and Russia. The numbers were recalculated after discrepancies were found in the method of calculation. The updated figures turned out to be far less than previous estimates.
If one were to go by the UN estimates then these countries would have been down on their knees. But nothing like that has happened. Kevin M. De Cock, MD, director of the WHO Department of HIV/AIDS was quoted as saying that there is least chances that there will be a a heterosexual epidemic in countries outside Africa.
On the other hand, a report by WHO suggests that in the next decade 350 million people would die of chronic diseases like heart diseases, diabetes, cancer et al. However, most of these diseases have been overlooked by governments so far and are thus causing higher rates of death. In such a scenario, it makes more sense to give some more thought and investment to other diseases instead of concentrating on AIDS mindlessly.
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Source : IIPM Editorial, 2008
An IIPM and Professor Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist) Initiative
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